The system we have been discussing on the Arkansas Weather Blog for more than a week will swing through the state Sunday afternoon and evening. There's plenty of cold air aloft and that will be favorable for hail production. In these situations, an isolated tornado or two can't be ruled out, but the threat is low. It's a fast moving system and I expect it to be east of the Mississippi River by midnight tomorrow.
Not everyone will have a thunderstorm Sunday because they will be widely scattered, but if you get under the core of one of these storms, you run the risk for large hail. Below are the threats and specific timing.
BTW, I'll have final numbers for the winter weather contest very soon.
Also, we're going to dry out next week and enjoy warm weather, but I see colder air returning by the end of next week. Remember, it's still technically winter. I'll blog about that later.
MOST OF THE FOLLOWING MAPS ARE FROM WEATHERBELL.COM.
THIS IS SIMULATED RADAR FROM THE 4KM NAM.
IT WILL !NOT! BE PERFECT, BUT GIVES YOU A GOOD GENERAL IDEA. |
| 4PM SUNDAY |
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| 5PM SUNDAY |
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| 6PM SUNDAY |
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| 7PM SUNDAY |
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| 11PM SUNDAY |
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| 1AM MONDAY |
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| SEVERE RISK SUNDAY FROM SPC |
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| SPECIFIC THREAT LEVELS |
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